Enhanced Analysis: Bitcoin Risk Assessment Report
Generated: 2025-10-06 14:27:01 Local
Yesterday's Market:
Date: 2025-10-05
Open: $113,360.69
High: $113,559.70
Low: $108,664.26
Close: $109,061.11
Today's Daily Forecast:
Date: 2025-10-06
Expected Low: $119,141.79
Expected High: $125,585.94
Weekly Rolling Forecast:
Expected Low: $105,495.01
Expected High: $139,232.72
Technical Analysis:
RSI (14): 50.0
Market Regime: Transitional
Regime Confidence: 40.0%
Volatility (ATR): $2,744.65 (2.2%)
Volume Trend: +20.01%
Volume (24h): $58.07B (CoinGecko)
Daily Fibonacci Analysis (15 days):
Focus: Significance-based minor swings (14.6% moves)
Swing High: $125,748.81
Swing Low: $108,664.26
Range: $17,084.55
Trend: Downtrend Retracement
Confirmation: Confirmed (15 bars)
Daily Key Levels:
Support: $112,696.21 (23.6%)
Resistance: $108,664.26 (0%)
Key Support: $117,206.54 (50%)
Daily Retracements:
0.0%: $108,664.26 0.0%
38.2%: $115,190.56 38.2%
50.0%: $117,206.54 50.0%
61.8%: $119,222.51 61.8%
100.0%: $125,748.81 100.0%
Daily Extensions:
127.2%: $130,395.81
141.4%: $132,821.81
161.8%: $136,307.06
261.8%: $153,391.61
Weekly Fibonacci Analysis (60 days):
Focus: Significance-based major swings (15.9% moves)
Swing High: $125,748.81
Swing Low: $107,271.39
Range: $18,477.42
Trend: Downtrend Retracement
Confirmation: Confirmed (60 bars)
Weekly Key Levels:
Support: $111,632.06 (23.6%)
Resistance: $107,271.39 (0%)
Key Support: $116,510.10 (50%)
Weekly Retracements:
0.0%: $107,271.39 0.0%
38.2%: $114,329.76 38.2%
50.0%: $116,510.10 50.0%
61.8%: $118,690.44 61.8%
100.0%: $125,748.81 100.0%
Weekly Extensions:
127.2%: $130,774.67
141.4%: $133,398.46
161.8%: $137,167.86
261.8%: $155,645.28
Fibonacci Convergence Zones:
Zone 1: $107,967.82
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 0.0%, 0.0%
Zone 2: $112,164.14
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 23.6%, 23.6%
Zone 3: $114,760.16
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 38.2%, 38.2%
Zone 4: $116,858.32
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 50.0%, 50.0%
Zone 5: $118,956.47
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 61.8%, 61.8%
Zone 6: $121,943.68
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 78.6%, 78.6%
Zone 7: $125,748.81
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 100.0%, 100.0%
Zone 8: $130,585.24
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 127.2%, 127.2%
Zone 9: $133,110.14
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 141.4%, 141.4%
Zone 10: $136,737.46
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 161.8%, 161.8%
Risk Assessment Matrix:
Overall Risk: MEDIUM (46/100)
Component Breakdown:
Technical Risk: 60/100
Volatility Risk: 45/100
Volume Risk: 40/100
Momentum Risk: 30/100
Directional Bias Analysis:
Primary Bias: NEUTRAL
Confidence: 50.0%
Position Recommendations:
LONG Positions: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 2.0% of account
SHORT Positions: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 0.5% of account
NEUTRAL Strategy: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 1.5% of account
Trading Signal Breakdown:
BULLISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
RSI Oversold: 0 pts
Bullish Momentum: 0 pts
Support Level: 0 pts
Volume Support: 0 pts
BEARISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
RSI Overbought: 0 pts
Bearish Momentum: 0 pts
High Volatility: 0 pts
Resistance Level: 0 pts
Volume Weakness: 0 pts
Signal Scoring:
• RSI signals: 2 pts (extreme), 1 pt (moderate)
• Momentum/Volatility: 2 pts (strong), 1 pt (moderate)
• Support/Resistance: 1 pt (near key levels)
• Volume: 1 pt (confirms direction)
📊 See also: More BTC Forecasts | Risk Analysis Reports | Technical Analysis