Enhanced Analysis: Bitcoin Risk Assessment Report

Generated: 2025-06-14 11:51:18 Local

Yesterday's Market:
Date: 2025-06-13

  Open:  $105,726.04
  High:  $106,224.76
  Low:   $102,773.14
  Close: $106,121.08

Today's Daily Forecast:
Date: 2025-06-14

  Expected Low:  $103,202.89
  Expected High: $109,960.94

Weekly Rolling Forecast:

  Expected Low:  $91,227.82
  Expected High: $121,936.00

Technical Analysis:
  RSI (14):           50.0
  Market Regime:      Transitional
  Regime Confidence:  40.0%
  Volatility (ATR):   $3,889.42 (3.7%)
  Volume Trend:       -487.34%
  Volume (24h):       $20.17B (CoinGecko)

Daily Fibonacci Analysis (15 days):
  Focus:         Significance-based minor swings (9.6% moves)
  Swing High:    $110,543.89
  Swing Low:     $100,418.61
  Range:         $10,125.28
  Trend:         Downtrend Retracement
  Confirmation:  Confirmed (15 bars)

Daily Key Levels:
  Support:     $102,808.18 (23.6%)
  Resistance:  $100,418.61 (0%)
  Key Support: $105,481.25 (50%)

Daily Retracements:
      0.0%: $100,418.61 0.0%
     38.2%: $104,286.47 38.2%
     50.0%: $105,481.25 50.0%
     61.8%: $106,676.03 61.8%
    100.0%: $110,543.89 100.0%

Daily Extensions:
    127.2%: $113,297.97
    141.4%: $114,735.76
    161.8%: $116,801.31
    261.8%: $126,926.59

Weekly Fibonacci Analysis (60 days):
  Focus:         Significance-based major swings (29.6% moves)
  Swing High:    $111,998.96
  Swing Low:     $83,094.96
  Range:         $28,904.00
  Trend:         Downtrend Retracement
  Confirmation:  Confirmed (60 bars)

Weekly Key Levels:
  Support:     $89,916.30 (23.6%)
  Resistance:  $83,094.96 (0%)
  Key Support: $97,546.96 (50%)

Weekly Retracements:
      0.0%: $83,094.96 0.0%
     38.2%: $94,136.29 38.2%
     50.0%: $97,546.96 50.0%
     61.8%: $100,957.63 61.8%
    100.0%: $111,998.96 100.0%

Weekly Extensions:
    127.2%: $119,860.85
    141.4%: $123,965.22
    161.8%: $129,861.63
    261.8%: $158,765.63

Fibonacci Convergence Zones:
  Zone 1: $100,688.12
    Strength:    MODERATE (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  weekly & daily
    Ratios:      0.0%, 61.8%
  Zone 2: $103,547.32
    Strength:    WEAK (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  daily
    Ratios:      23.6%, 38.2%
  Zone 3: $105,990.26
    Strength:    STRONG (3 levels)
    Timeframes:  weekly & daily
    Ratios:      50.0%, 78.6%, 61.8%
  Zone 4: $111,271.43
    Strength:    MODERATE (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  weekly & daily
    Ratios:      100.0%, 100.0%
  Zone 5: $114,016.86
    Strength:    WEAK (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  daily
    Ratios:      127.2%, 141.4%

Risk Assessment Matrix:
  Overall Risk:       MEDIUM (53/100)
  
  Component Breakdown:
    Technical Risk:   60/100
    Volatility Risk:  45/100
    Volume Risk:      40/100
    Momentum Risk:    65/100

Directional Bias Analysis:
  Primary Bias:       NEUTRAL
  Confidence:         50.0%
  
  Position Recommendations:
    LONG Positions:   MEDIUM risk
                      Max Size: 1.0% of account
    
    SHORT Positions:  MEDIUM risk
                      Max Size: 0.5% of account
    
    NEUTRAL Strategy: MEDIUM risk
                      Max Size: 1.5% of account

Trading Signal Breakdown:

BULLISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
  RSI Oversold:     0 pts
  Bullish Momentum: 0 pts  
  Support Level:    0 pts
  Volume Support:   0 pts

BEARISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
  RSI Overbought:   0 pts
  Bearish Momentum: 0 pts
  High Volatility:  0 pts
  Resistance Level: 0 pts
  Volume Weakness:  0 pts

Signal Scoring:
• RSI signals: 2 pts (extreme), 1 pt (moderate)
• Momentum/Volatility: 2 pts (strong), 1 pt (moderate)  
• Support/Resistance: 1 pt (near key levels)
• Volume: 1 pt (confirms direction)

📊 See also: More BTC Forecasts | Risk Analysis Reports | Technical Analysis

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