Enhanced Analysis: Bitcoin Risk Assessment Report
Generated: 2025-06-21 12:04:18 Local
Yesterday's Market:
Date: 2025-06-20
Open: $104,699.72
High: $106,559.45
Low: $102,367.77
Close: $103,313.31
Today's Daily Forecast:
Date: 2025-06-21
Expected Low: $101,846.33
Expected High: $106,445.31
Weekly Rolling Forecast:
Expected Low: $90,168.83
Expected High: $118,122.81
Technical Analysis:
RSI (14): 50.0
Market Regime: Consolidation
Regime Confidence: 70.0%
Volatility (ATR): $3,030.26 (2.7%)
Volume Trend: +88.67%
Volume (24h): $20.04B (CoinGecko)
Daily Fibonacci Analysis (15 days):
Focus: Significance-based minor swings (8.9% moves)
Swing High: $110,543.89
Swing Low: $101,174.97
Range: $9,368.92
Trend: Downtrend Retracement
Confirmation: Confirmed (15 bars)
Daily Key Levels:
Support: $103,386.04 (23.6%)
Resistance: $101,174.97 (0%)
Key Support: $105,859.43 (50%)
Daily Retracements:
0.0%: $101,174.97 0.0%
38.2%: $104,753.90 38.2%
50.0%: $105,859.43 50.0%
61.8%: $106,964.96 61.8%
100.0%: $110,543.89 100.0%
Daily Extensions:
127.2%: $113,092.24
141.4%: $114,422.62
161.8%: $116,333.88
261.8%: $125,702.80
Weekly Fibonacci Analysis (60 days):
Focus: Significance-based major swings (25.0% moves)
Swing High: $111,998.96
Swing Low: $87,084.84
Range: $24,914.12
Trend: Downtrend Retracement
Confirmation: Confirmed (60 bars)
Weekly Key Levels:
Support: $92,964.57 (23.6%)
Resistance: $87,084.84 (0%)
Key Support: $99,541.90 (50%)
Weekly Retracements:
0.0%: $87,084.84 0.0%
38.2%: $96,602.03 38.2%
50.0%: $99,541.90 50.0%
61.8%: $102,481.77 61.8%
100.0%: $111,998.96 100.0%
Weekly Extensions:
127.2%: $118,775.60
141.4%: $122,313.41
161.8%: $127,395.89
261.8%: $152,310.01
Fibonacci Convergence Zones:
Zone 1: $100,358.43
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily & weekly
Ratios: 50.0%, 0.0%
Zone 2: $102,933.90
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily & weekly
Ratios: 61.8%, 23.6%
Zone 3: $105,306.66
Strength: WEAK (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily
Ratios: 38.2%, 50.0%
Zone 4: $106,816.15
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily & weekly
Ratios: 78.6%, 61.8%
Zone 5: $111,271.43
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily & weekly
Ratios: 100.0%, 100.0%
Zone 6: $113,757.43
Strength: WEAK (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily
Ratios: 127.2%, 141.4%
Risk Assessment Matrix:
Overall Risk: MEDIUM (48/100)
Component Breakdown:
Technical Risk: 60/100
Volatility Risk: 45/100
Volume Risk: 60/100
Momentum Risk: 45/100
Directional Bias Analysis:
Primary Bias: NEUTRAL
Confidence: 50.0%
Position Recommendations:
LONG Positions: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 2.0% of account
SHORT Positions: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 0.5% of account
NEUTRAL Strategy: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 1.5% of account
Trading Signal Breakdown:
BULLISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
RSI Oversold: 0 pts
Bullish Momentum: 0 pts
Support Level: 0 pts
Volume Support: 0 pts
BEARISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
RSI Overbought: 0 pts
Bearish Momentum: 0 pts
High Volatility: 0 pts
Resistance Level: 0 pts
Volume Weakness: 0 pts
Signal Scoring:
• RSI signals: 2 pts (extreme), 1 pt (moderate)
• Momentum/Volatility: 2 pts (strong), 1 pt (moderate)
• Support/Resistance: 1 pt (near key levels)
• Volume: 1 pt (confirms direction)
📊 See also: More BTC Forecasts | Risk Analysis Reports | Technical Analysis