Enhanced Analysis: Bitcoin Risk Assessment Report
Generated: 2025-10-04 14:27:02 Local
Yesterday's Market:
Date: 2025-10-03
Open: $112,747.85
High: $113,372.59
Low: $111,518.32
Close: $112,043.66
Today's Daily Forecast:
Date: 2025-10-04
Expected Low: $117,151.46
Expected High: $122,070.31
Weekly Rolling Forecast:
Expected Low: $103,786.26
Expected High: $135,435.51
Technical Analysis:
RSI (14): 50.0
Market Regime: Bullish Momentum
Regime Confidence: 58.8%
Volatility (ATR): $3,040.13 (2.5%)
Volume Trend: +93.38%
Volume (24h): $68.25B (CoinGecko)
Daily Fibonacci Analysis (15 days):
Focus: Significance-based minor swings (13.2% moves)
Swing High: $123,996.37
Swing Low: $108,664.26
Range: $15,332.11
Trend: Downtrend Retracement
Confirmation: Confirmed (15 bars)
Daily Key Levels:
Support: $112,282.64 (23.6%)
Resistance: $108,664.26 (0%)
Key Support: $116,330.32 (50%)
Daily Retracements:
0.0%: $108,664.26 0.0%
38.2%: $114,521.13 38.2%
50.0%: $116,330.32 50.0%
61.8%: $118,139.50 61.8%
100.0%: $123,996.37 100.0%
Daily Extensions:
127.2%: $128,166.70
141.4%: $130,343.86
161.8%: $133,471.61
261.8%: $148,803.72
Weekly Fibonacci Analysis (60 days):
Focus: Significance-based major swings (14.9% moves)
Swing High: $124,532.70
Swing Low: $107,271.39
Range: $17,261.31
Trend: Uptrend Retracement
Confirmation: Confirmed (60 bars)
Weekly Key Levels:
Support: $120,459.03 (23.6%)
Resistance: $124,532.70 (0%)
Key Support: $115,902.04 (50%)
Weekly Retracements:
0.0%: $124,532.70 0.0%
38.2%: $117,938.88 38.2%
50.0%: $115,902.04 50.0%
61.8%: $113,865.21 61.8%
100.0%: $107,271.39 100.0%
Weekly Extensions:
127.2%: $102,576.31
141.4%: $100,125.21
161.8%: $96,603.90
261.8%: $79,342.59
Fibonacci Convergence Zones:
Zone 1: $107,967.82
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily & weekly
Ratios: 100.0%, 0.0%
Zone 2: $111,623.97
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily & weekly
Ratios: 78.6%, 23.6%
Zone 3: $114,193.17
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily & weekly
Ratios: 61.8%, 38.2%
Zone 4: $116,116.18
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily & weekly
Ratios: 50.0%, 50.0%
Zone 5: $118,039.19
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily & weekly
Ratios: 38.2%, 61.8%
Zone 6: $120,587.16
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily & weekly
Ratios: 23.6%, 78.6%
Zone 7: $124,264.54
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: daily & weekly
Ratios: 100.0%, 0.0%
Risk Assessment Matrix:
Overall Risk: MEDIUM (35/100)
Component Breakdown:
Technical Risk: 60/100
Volatility Risk: 45/100
Volume Risk: 25/100
Momentum Risk: 30/100
Directional Bias Analysis:
Primary Bias: BULLISH
Confidence: 50.0%
Position Recommendations:
LONG Positions: LOW risk
Max Size: 3.0% of account
SHORT Positions: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 0.5% of account
NEUTRAL Strategy: LOW risk
Max Size: 1.5% of account
Trading Signal Breakdown:
BULLISH SIGNALS (3/7 total points):
RSI Oversold: 0 pts
Bullish Momentum: 2 pts
Support Level: 0 pts
Volume Support: 1 pts
BEARISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
RSI Overbought: 0 pts
Bearish Momentum: 0 pts
High Volatility: 0 pts
Resistance Level: 0 pts
Volume Weakness: 0 pts
Signal Scoring:
• RSI signals: 2 pts (extreme), 1 pt (moderate)
• Momentum/Volatility: 2 pts (strong), 1 pt (moderate)
• Support/Resistance: 1 pt (near key levels)
• Volume: 1 pt (confirms direction)
📊 See also: More BTC Forecasts | Risk Analysis Reports | Technical Analysis