Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Expected Price Range for 2025-06-04

Enhanced Analysis: Bitcoin Risk Assessment Report

Generated: 2025-06-04 14:33:54 Local

Yesterday's Market:
Date: 2025-06-03

  Open:  $105,908.79
  High:  $106,888.12
  Low:   $104,926.88
  Close: $105,447.66

Today's Daily Forecast:
Date: 2025-06-04

  Expected Low:  $102,777.48
  Expected High: $108,007.81

Weekly Rolling Forecast:

  Expected Low:  $95,317.91
  Expected High: $116,499.67

Technical Analysis:
  RSI (14):           50.0
  Market Regime:      Transitional
  Regime Confidence:  40.0%
  Volatility (ATR):   $2,871.84 (2.7%)
  Volume Trend:       -26.32%
  24h Volume:         $972.11M

Daily Fibonacci Levels (10-day):
  Strong Support:     $104,938.92
  Moderate Support:   $106,059.39
  Moderate Resistance: $107,870.56
  Strong Resistance:  $108,991.03

Weekly Fibonacci Levels (21-day):
  Strong Support:     $103,906.81
  Moderate Support:   $105,453.22
  Moderate Resistance: $107,952.88
  Strong Resistance:  $109,499.29

Risk Assessment Matrix:
  Overall Risk:       MEDIUM (49/100)
  
  Component Breakdown:
    Technical Risk:   40/100
    Volatility Risk:  40/100
    Volume Risk:      80/100
    Momentum Risk:    45/100

Directional Bias Analysis:
  Primary Bias:       NEUTRAL
  Confidence:         50.0%
  
  Position Recommendations:
    LONG Positions:   MEDIUM risk
                      Max Size: 2.0% of account
    
    SHORT Positions:  MEDIUM risk
                      Max Size: 0.5% of account
    
    NEUTRAL Strategy: MEDIUM risk
                      Max Size: 1.5% of account

Trading Signal Breakdown:

BULLISH SIGNALS (0/6 total points):
  RSI Oversold:     0 pts
  Bullish Momentum: 0 pts  
  Support Level:    0 pts
  Volume Support:   0 pts

BEARISH SIGNALS (1/6 total points):
  RSI Overbought:   0 pts
  Bearish Momentum: 0 pts
  High Volatility:  0 pts
  Resistance Level: 0 pts
  Volume Weakness:  1 pts

Signal Scoring:
• RSI signals: 2 pts (extreme), 1 pt (moderate)
• Momentum/Volatility: 2 pts (strong), 1 pt (moderate)  
• Support/Resistance: 1 pt (near key levels)
• Volume: 1 pt (confirms direction)

Risk Management Notes:
* RSI uses crypto-optimized thresholds (oversold <20, 
  overbought >80)
* Position sizing incorporates directional bias multipliers
* Short positions capped at 50% of long position size 
  due to unlimited risk
* High volatility regimes trigger automatic position 
  reduction
* Volume analysis confirms or contradicts price movements
* Fibonacci levels calculated on both 10-day and 21-day 
  periods using extended historical data for accurate 
  support/resistance identification

** This analysis integrates academic research on crypto 
   risk assessment including asymmetric risk profiles 
   and regime-dependent volatility patterns

*** Risk scores calibrated for institutional-grade crypto 
    trading systems with real-time market regime detection 
    and directional bias optimization

See also: More Bitcoin Forecasts

Daily Price Forecast

Weekly Price Forecast

DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The information herein is derived from sources believed to be reliable but we make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness. We disclaim all liability for any loss or damage arising from reliance on this information. Data may contain errors or omissions. Calculations are provided as-is without warranty. Always conduct your own research and consult qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions. Use at your own risk.