Enhanced Analysis: Bitcoin Risk Assessment Report

Generated: 2025-07-03 11:31:18 Local

Yesterday's Market:
Date: 2025-07-02

  Open:  $105,724.18
  High:  $109,818.47
  Low:   $105,143.10
  Close: $108,886.62

Today's Daily Forecast:
Date: 2025-07-03

  Expected Low:  $103,028.56
  Expected High: $109,179.69

Weekly Rolling Forecast:

  Expected Low:  $91,147.60
  Expected High: $121,060.65

Technical Analysis:
  RSI (14):           50.0
  Market Regime:      Consolidation
  Regime Confidence:  70.0%
  Volatility (ATR):   $3,127.04 (3.1%)
  Volume Trend:       +619.61%
  Volume (24h):       $37.65B (CoinGecko)

Daily Fibonacci Analysis (15 days):
  Focus:         Significance-based minor swings (11.1% moves)
  Swing High:    $109,818.47
  Swing Low:     $98,264.46
  Range:         $11,554.01
  Trend:         Downtrend Retracement
  Confirmation:  Confirmed (15 bars)

Daily Key Levels:
  Support:     $100,991.21 (23.6%)
  Resistance:  $98,264.46 (0%)
  Key Support: $104,041.46 (50%)

Daily Retracements:
      0.0%: $98,264.46 0.0%
     38.2%: $102,678.09 38.2%
     50.0%: $104,041.46 50.0%
     61.8%: $105,404.84 61.8%
    100.0%: $109,818.47 100.0%

Daily Extensions:
    127.2%: $112,961.16
    141.4%: $114,601.83
    161.8%: $116,958.85
    261.8%: $128,512.86

Weekly Fibonacci Analysis (60 days):
  Focus:         Significance-based major swings (18.1% moves)
  Swing High:    $111,998.96
  Swing Low:     $93,382.91
  Range:         $18,616.05
  Trend:         Downtrend Retracement
  Confirmation:  Confirmed (60 bars)

Weekly Key Levels:
  Support:     $97,776.30 (23.6%)
  Resistance:  $93,382.91 (0%)
  Key Support: $102,690.93 (50%)

Weekly Retracements:
      0.0%: $93,382.91 0.0%
     38.2%: $100,494.24 38.2%
     50.0%: $102,690.93 50.0%
     61.8%: $104,887.63 61.8%
    100.0%: $111,998.96 100.0%

Weekly Extensions:
    127.2%: $117,062.53
    141.4%: $119,706.00
    161.8%: $123,503.68
    261.8%: $142,119.73

Fibonacci Convergence Zones:
  Zone 1: $98,020.38
    Strength:    MODERATE (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  weekly & daily
    Ratios:      23.6%, 0.0%
  Zone 2: $100,742.72
    Strength:    MODERATE (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  weekly & daily
    Ratios:      38.2%, 23.6%
  Zone 3: $103,136.83
    Strength:    STRONG (3 levels)
    Timeframes:  daily & weekly
    Ratios:      38.2%, 50.0%, 50.0%
  Zone 4: $105,146.23
    Strength:    MODERATE (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  weekly & daily
    Ratios:      61.8%, 61.8%
  Zone 5: $107,680.52
    Strength:    MODERATE (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  daily & weekly
    Ratios:      78.6%, 78.6%
  Zone 6: $112,480.06
    Strength:    MODERATE (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  weekly & daily
    Ratios:      100.0%, 127.2%
  Zone 7: $117,010.69
    Strength:    MODERATE (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  daily & weekly
    Ratios:      161.8%, 127.2%

Risk Assessment Matrix:
  Overall Risk:       MEDIUM (45/100)
  
  Component Breakdown:
    Technical Risk:   60/100
    Volatility Risk:  45/100
    Volume Risk:      25/100
    Momentum Risk:    65/100

Directional Bias Analysis:
  Primary Bias:       NEUTRAL
  Confidence:         50.0%
  
  Position Recommendations:
    LONG Positions:   MEDIUM risk
                      Max Size: 2.0% of account
    
    SHORT Positions:  MEDIUM risk
                      Max Size: 0.5% of account
    
    NEUTRAL Strategy: MEDIUM risk
                      Max Size: 1.5% of account

Trading Signal Breakdown:

BULLISH SIGNALS (1/7 total points):
  RSI Oversold:     0 pts
  Bullish Momentum: 0 pts  
  Support Level:    0 pts
  Volume Support:   1 pts

BEARISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
  RSI Overbought:   0 pts
  Bearish Momentum: 0 pts
  High Volatility:  0 pts
  Resistance Level: 0 pts
  Volume Weakness:  0 pts

Signal Scoring:
• RSI signals: 2 pts (extreme), 1 pt (moderate)
• Momentum/Volatility: 2 pts (strong), 1 pt (moderate)  
• Support/Resistance: 1 pt (near key levels)
• Volume: 1 pt (confirms direction)

📊 See also: More BTC Forecasts | Risk Analysis Reports | Technical Analysis

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