Enhanced Analysis: Bitcoin Risk Assessment Report

Generated: 2025-06-09 08:30:09 Local

Yesterday's Market:
Date: 2025-06-08

  Open:  $105,625.23
  High:  $106,537.25
  Low:   $105,042.03
  Close: $105,779.28

Today's Daily Forecast:
Date: 2025-06-09

  Expected Low:  $102,241.52
  Expected High: $108,398.44

Weekly Rolling Forecast:

  Expected Low:  $90,523.30
  Expected High: $120,116.66

Technical Analysis:
  RSI (14):           50.0
  Market Regime:      Consolidation
  Regime Confidence:  70.0%
  Volatility (ATR):   $3,315.42 (3.1%)
  Volume Trend:       -5.22%
  Volume (24h):       $25.30B (CoinGecko)

Daily Fibonacci Analysis (15 days):
  Focus:         Significance-based minor swings (9.8% moves)
  Swing High:    $110,802.20
  Swing Low:     $100,418.61
  Range:         $10,383.59
  Trend:         Uptrend Retracement
  Confirmation:  Confirmed (15 bars)

Daily Key Levels:
  Support:     $108,351.67 (23.6%)
  Resistance:  $110,802.20 (0%)
  Key Support: $105,610.40 (50%)

Daily Retracements:
      0.0%: $110,802.20 0.0%
     38.2%: $106,835.67 38.2%
     50.0%: $105,610.40 50.0%
     61.8%: $104,385.14 61.8%
    100.0%: $100,418.61 100.0%

Daily Extensions:
    127.2%: $97,594.27
    141.4%: $96,119.80
    161.8%: $94,001.55
    261.8%: $83,617.96

Weekly Fibonacci Analysis (60 days):
  Focus:         Significance-based major swings (35.3% moves)
  Swing High:    $111,998.96
  Swing Low:     $78,405.82
  Range:         $33,593.14
  Trend:         Downtrend Retracement
  Confirmation:  Confirmed (60 bars)

Weekly Key Levels:
  Support:     $86,333.80 (23.6%)
  Resistance:  $78,405.82 (0%)
  Key Support: $95,202.39 (50%)

Weekly Retracements:
      0.0%: $78,405.82 0.0%
     38.2%: $91,238.40 38.2%
     50.0%: $95,202.39 50.0%
     61.8%: $99,166.38 61.8%
    100.0%: $111,998.96 100.0%

Weekly Extensions:
    127.2%: $121,136.29
    141.4%: $125,906.52
    161.8%: $132,759.52
    261.8%: $166,352.66

Fibonacci Convergence Zones:
  Zone 1: $94,601.97
    Strength:    MODERATE (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  weekly & daily
    Ratios:      161.8%, 50.0%
  Zone 2: $96,857.04
    Strength:    WEAK (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  daily
    Ratios:      141.4%, 127.2%
  Zone 3: $99,792.50
    Strength:    MODERATE (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  weekly & daily
    Ratios:      61.8%, 100.0%
  Zone 4: $104,935.19
    Strength:    STRONG (3 levels)
    Timeframes:  weekly & daily
    Ratios:      61.8%, 78.6%, 50.0%
  Zone 5: $107,593.67
    Strength:    WEAK (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  daily
    Ratios:      38.2%, 23.6%
  Zone 6: $111,400.58
    Strength:    MODERATE (2 levels)
    Timeframes:  weekly & daily
    Ratios:      0.0%, 100.0%

Risk Assessment Matrix:
  Overall Risk:       MEDIUM (44/100)
  
  Component Breakdown:
    Technical Risk:   60/100
    Volatility Risk:  45/100
    Volume Risk:      40/100
    Momentum Risk:    45/100

Directional Bias Analysis:
  Primary Bias:       NEUTRAL
  Confidence:         50.0%
  
  Position Recommendations:
    LONG Positions:   MEDIUM risk
                      Max Size: 2.0% of account
    
    SHORT Positions:  MEDIUM risk
                      Max Size: 0.5% of account
    
    NEUTRAL Strategy: MEDIUM risk
                      Max Size: 1.5% of account

Trading Signal Breakdown:

BULLISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
  RSI Oversold:     0 pts
  Bullish Momentum: 0 pts  
  Support Level:    0 pts
  Volume Support:   0 pts

BEARISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
  RSI Overbought:   0 pts
  Bearish Momentum: 0 pts
  High Volatility:  0 pts
  Resistance Level: 0 pts
  Volume Weakness:  0 pts

Signal Scoring:
• RSI signals: 2 pts (extreme), 1 pt (moderate)
• Momentum/Volatility: 2 pts (strong), 1 pt (moderate)  
• Support/Resistance: 1 pt (near key levels)
• Volume: 1 pt (confirms direction)

📊 See also: More BTC Forecasts | Risk Analysis Reports | Technical Analysis

📈 Daily Price Forecast

📅 Weekly Price Forecast