Enhanced Analysis: Bitcoin Risk Assessment Report
Generated: 2025-10-22 14:27:02 Local
Yesterday's Market:
Date: 2025-10-21
Open: $110,583.29
High: $114,069.11
Low: $107,500.34
Close: $108,387.11
Today's Daily Forecast:
Date: 2025-10-22
Expected Low: $105,801.86
Expected High: $113,281.25
Weekly Rolling Forecast:
Expected Low: $93,567.50
Expected High: $125,515.61
Technical Analysis:
RSI (14): 50.0
Market Regime: Transitional
Regime Confidence: 40.0%
Volatility (ATR): $4,776.21 (4.4%)
Volume Trend: -54.72%
Volume (24h): $110.96B (CoinGecko)
Daily Fibonacci Analysis (15 days):
Focus: Significance-based minor swings (18.9% moves)
Swing High: $125,225.23
Swing Low: $103,552.05
Range: $21,673.18
Trend: Uptrend Retracement
Confirmation: Confirmed (15 bars)
Daily Key Levels:
Support: $120,110.36 (23.6%)
Resistance: $125,225.23 (0%)
Key Support: $114,388.64 (50%)
Daily Retracements:
0.0%: $125,225.23 0.0%
38.2%: $116,946.08 38.2%
50.0%: $114,388.64 50.0%
61.8%: $111,831.20 61.8%
100.0%: $103,552.05 100.0%
Daily Extensions:
127.2%: $97,656.95
141.4%: $94,579.35
161.8%: $90,158.02
261.8%: $68,484.84
Weekly Fibonacci Analysis (60 days):
Focus: Significance-based major swings (19.8% moves)
Swing High: $126,287.29
Swing Low: $103,552.05
Range: $22,735.24
Trend: Uptrend Retracement
Confirmation: Confirmed (60 bars)
Weekly Key Levels:
Support: $120,921.77 (23.6%)
Resistance: $126,287.29 (0%)
Key Support: $114,919.67 (50%)
Weekly Retracements:
0.0%: $126,287.29 0.0%
38.2%: $117,602.43 38.2%
50.0%: $114,919.67 50.0%
61.8%: $112,236.91 61.8%
100.0%: $103,552.05 100.0%
Weekly Extensions:
127.2%: $97,368.06
141.4%: $94,139.66
161.8%: $89,501.67
261.8%: $66,766.43
Fibonacci Convergence Zones:
Zone 1: $89,829.85
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 161.8%, 161.8%
Zone 2: $94,359.51
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 141.4%, 141.4%
Zone 3: $97,512.50
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 127.2%, 127.2%
Zone 4: $103,552.05
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 100.0%, 100.0%
Zone 5: $108,303.75
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 78.6%, 78.6%
Zone 6: $112,034.06
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 61.8%, 61.8%
Zone 7: $114,654.15
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 50.0%, 50.0%
Zone 8: $117,274.25
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 38.2%, 38.2%
Zone 9: $120,516.07
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 23.6%, 23.6%
Zone 10: $125,756.26
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 0.0%, 0.0%
Risk Assessment Matrix:
Overall Risk: MEDIUM (53/100)
Component Breakdown:
Technical Risk: 60/100
Volatility Risk: 60/100
Volume Risk: 40/100
Momentum Risk: 45/100
Directional Bias Analysis:
Primary Bias: NEUTRAL
Confidence: 50.0%
Position Recommendations:
LONG Positions: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 1.0% of account
SHORT Positions: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 0.5% of account
NEUTRAL Strategy: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 1.5% of account
Trading Signal Breakdown:
BULLISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
RSI Oversold: 0 pts
Bullish Momentum: 0 pts
Support Level: 0 pts
Volume Support: 0 pts
BEARISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
RSI Overbought: 0 pts
Bearish Momentum: 0 pts
High Volatility: 0 pts
Resistance Level: 0 pts
Volume Weakness: 0 pts
Signal Scoring:
• RSI signals: 2 pts (extreme), 1 pt (moderate)
• Momentum/Volatility: 2 pts (strong), 1 pt (moderate)
• Support/Resistance: 1 pt (near key levels)
• Volume: 1 pt (confirms direction)
📊 See also: More BTC Forecasts | Risk Analysis Reports | Technical Analysis