Enhanced Analysis: Bitcoin Risk Assessment Report
Generated: 2025-10-14 14:27:03 Local
Yesterday's Market:
Date: 2025-10-13
Open: $120,630.71
High: $123,996.37
Low: $119,348.63
Close: $122,318.86
Today's Daily Forecast:
Date: 2025-10-14
Expected Low: $107,382.10
Expected High: $119,140.62
Weekly Rolling Forecast:
Expected Low: $94,796.89
Expected High: $131,725.84
Technical Analysis:
RSI (14): 50.0
Market Regime: Transitional
Regime Confidence: 40.0%
Volatility (ATR): $4,871.30 (4.2%)
Volume Trend: -207.96%
Volume (24h): $78.15B (CoinGecko)
Daily Fibonacci Analysis (15 days):
Focus: Significance-based minor swings (17.6% moves)
Swing High: $126,287.29
Swing Low: $105,833.75
Range: $20,453.54
Trend: Uptrend Retracement
Confirmation: Confirmed (15 bars)
Daily Key Levels:
Support: $121,460.25 (23.6%)
Resistance: $126,287.29 (0%)
Key Support: $116,060.52 (50%)
Daily Retracements:
0.0%: $126,287.29 0.0%
38.2%: $118,474.04 38.2%
50.0%: $116,060.52 50.0%
61.8%: $113,647.00 61.8%
100.0%: $105,833.75 100.0%
Daily Extensions:
127.2%: $100,270.39
141.4%: $97,365.98
161.8%: $93,193.46
261.8%: $72,739.92
Weekly Fibonacci Analysis (60 days):
Focus: Significance-based major swings (17.6% moves)
Swing High: $126,287.29
Swing Low: $105,833.75
Range: $20,453.54
Trend: Uptrend Retracement
Confirmation: Confirmed (60 bars)
Weekly Key Levels:
Support: $121,460.25 (23.6%)
Resistance: $126,287.29 (0%)
Key Support: $116,060.52 (50%)
Weekly Retracements:
0.0%: $126,287.29 0.0%
38.2%: $118,474.04 38.2%
50.0%: $116,060.52 50.0%
61.8%: $113,647.00 61.8%
100.0%: $105,833.75 100.0%
Weekly Extensions:
127.2%: $100,270.39
141.4%: $97,365.98
161.8%: $93,193.46
261.8%: $72,739.92
Fibonacci Convergence Zones:
Zone 1: $72,739.92
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 261.8%, 261.8%
Zone 2: $93,193.46
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 161.8%, 161.8%
Zone 3: $97,365.98
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 141.4%, 141.4%
Zone 4: $100,270.39
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 127.2%, 127.2%
Zone 5: $105,833.75
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 100.0%, 100.0%
Zone 6: $110,210.81
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 78.6%, 78.6%
Zone 7: $113,647.00
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 61.8%, 61.8%
Zone 8: $116,060.52
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 50.0%, 50.0%
Zone 9: $118,474.04
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 38.2%, 38.2%
Zone 10: $121,460.25
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 23.6%, 23.6%
Zone 11: $126,287.29
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 0.0%, 0.0%
Risk Assessment Matrix:
Overall Risk: MEDIUM (65/100)
Component Breakdown:
Technical Risk: 60/100
Volatility Risk: 60/100
Volume Risk: 60/100
Momentum Risk: 85/100
Directional Bias Analysis:
Primary Bias: NEUTRAL
Confidence: 50.0%
Position Recommendations:
LONG Positions: HIGH risk
Max Size: 1.0% of account
SHORT Positions: HIGH risk
Max Size: 0.2% of account
NEUTRAL Strategy: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 0.8% of account
Trading Signal Breakdown:
BULLISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
RSI Oversold: 0 pts
Bullish Momentum: 0 pts
Support Level: 0 pts
Volume Support: 0 pts
BEARISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
RSI Overbought: 0 pts
Bearish Momentum: 0 pts
High Volatility: 0 pts
Resistance Level: 0 pts
Volume Weakness: 0 pts
Signal Scoring:
• RSI signals: 2 pts (extreme), 1 pt (moderate)
• Momentum/Volatility: 2 pts (strong), 1 pt (moderate)
• Support/Resistance: 1 pt (near key levels)
• Volume: 1 pt (confirms direction)
📊 See also: More BTC Forecasts | Risk Analysis Reports | Technical Analysis