Enhanced Analysis: Bitcoin Risk Assessment Report
Generated: 2025-10-08 14:27:02 Local
Yesterday's Market:
Date: 2025-10-07
Open: $109,723.94
High: $109,822.37
Low: $109,156.33
Close: $109,727.42
Today's Daily Forecast:
Date: 2025-10-08
Expected Low: $121,575.18
Expected High: $127,929.69
Weekly Rolling Forecast:
Expected Low: $107,653.89
Expected High: $141,850.98
Technical Analysis:
RSI (14): 50.0
Market Regime: Transitional
Regime Confidence: 40.0%
Volatility (ATR): $3,279.56 (2.7%)
Volume Trend: -0.54%
Volume (24h): $77.78B (CoinGecko)
Daily Fibonacci Analysis (15 days):
Focus: Significance-based minor swings (15.0% moves)
Swing High: $126,287.29
Swing Low: $108,664.26
Range: $17,623.03
Trend: Downtrend Retracement
Confirmation: Confirmed (15 bars)
Daily Key Levels:
Support: $112,823.30 (23.6%)
Resistance: $108,664.26 (0%)
Key Support: $117,475.77 (50%)
Daily Retracements:
0.0%: $108,664.26 0.0%
38.2%: $115,396.26 38.2%
50.0%: $117,475.77 50.0%
61.8%: $119,555.29 61.8%
100.0%: $126,287.29 100.0%
Daily Extensions:
127.2%: $131,080.75
141.4%: $133,583.22
161.8%: $137,178.32
261.8%: $154,801.35
Weekly Fibonacci Analysis (60 days):
Focus: Significance-based major swings (16.3% moves)
Swing High: $126,287.29
Swing Low: $107,271.39
Range: $19,015.90
Trend: Downtrend Retracement
Confirmation: Confirmed (60 bars)
Weekly Key Levels:
Support: $111,759.14 (23.6%)
Resistance: $107,271.39 (0%)
Key Support: $116,779.34 (50%)
Weekly Retracements:
0.0%: $107,271.39 0.0%
38.2%: $114,535.46 38.2%
50.0%: $116,779.34 50.0%
61.8%: $119,023.22 61.8%
100.0%: $126,287.29 100.0%
Weekly Extensions:
127.2%: $131,459.61
141.4%: $134,159.87
161.8%: $138,039.12
261.8%: $157,055.02
Fibonacci Convergence Zones:
Zone 1: $107,967.82
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 0.0%, 0.0%
Zone 2: $112,291.22
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 23.6%, 23.6%
Zone 3: $114,965.86
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 38.2%, 38.2%
Zone 4: $117,127.56
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 50.0%, 50.0%
Zone 5: $119,289.25
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 61.8%, 61.8%
Zone 6: $122,366.92
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 78.6%, 78.6%
Zone 7: $126,287.29
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 100.0%, 100.0%
Zone 8: $131,270.18
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 127.2%, 127.2%
Zone 9: $133,871.55
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 141.4%, 141.4%
Zone 10: $137,608.72
Strength: MODERATE (2 levels)
Timeframes: weekly & daily
Ratios: 161.8%, 161.8%
Risk Assessment Matrix:
Overall Risk: MEDIUM (49/100)
Component Breakdown:
Technical Risk: 60/100
Volatility Risk: 45/100
Volume Risk: 40/100
Momentum Risk: 45/100
Directional Bias Analysis:
Primary Bias: NEUTRAL
Confidence: 50.0%
Position Recommendations:
LONG Positions: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 2.0% of account
SHORT Positions: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 0.5% of account
NEUTRAL Strategy: MEDIUM risk
Max Size: 1.5% of account
Trading Signal Breakdown:
BULLISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
RSI Oversold: 0 pts
Bullish Momentum: 0 pts
Support Level: 0 pts
Volume Support: 0 pts
BEARISH SIGNALS (0/7 total points):
RSI Overbought: 0 pts
Bearish Momentum: 0 pts
High Volatility: 0 pts
Resistance Level: 0 pts
Volume Weakness: 0 pts
Signal Scoring:
• RSI signals: 2 pts (extreme), 1 pt (moderate)
• Momentum/Volatility: 2 pts (strong), 1 pt (moderate)
• Support/Resistance: 1 pt (near key levels)
• Volume: 1 pt (confirms direction)
📊 See also: More BTC Forecasts | Risk Analysis Reports | Technical Analysis